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In the wake of the National Guard and Marines being deployed to downtown Los Angeles in response to protests condemning the mass disappearances of community members by ICE, all eyes remain on the city. In the deluge of live reporting from the protests, think pieces, court orders, and gubernatorial social media beefs, it’s easy to miss one of the core drivers of this crisis: quota-based enforcement.
On June 6, ICE agents arrested over 40 immigrants in workplace raids across Los Angeles, including dozens of garment workers at an apparel warehouse and day laborers in a Home Depot parking lot. These raids followed months of escalating tactics: arresting people who voluntarily appeared for immigration check-ins, handcuffing them at courtroom exits, and detaining entire families as “collateral” arrests.
The record first scratched for us following reports that these escalations stemmed from direct pressure from the Trump administration for ICE to hit daily quotas. Internal ICE emails obtained by The Guardian revealed that agents were explicitly encouraged to “push the envelope” and “turn the creative knob up to 11” to ensure they meet their 3,000 daily arrests target (a far cry from the average of 660 daily arrests during the first 100 days of Trump’s second term).
We know first-hand from our work in the criminal justice system that quotas are bad all-around. They incentivize law enforcement to arrest and detain for the sake of arrests and detention, they reward imprecise and biased enforcement, and they increase the likelihood of fraudulent and violent activity by law enforcement. As a result, the use of quotas has been broadly discredited in the criminal justice field. Over 20 states have banned quotas in some form or another, and experts across the spectrum, from academics to lawmakers to police themselves, question their effectiveness and fairness.
Still, quotas remain unfortunately common in policing. Roughly 4 in 10 rank-and-file police officers nationwide reported they were expected to meet a quota for arrests or tickets. So why do we still have them if they’ve been so commonly undermined? A big reason is financial. At least 20 states make police grant money dependent on traffic stop quotas, and many localities depend heavily on the revenue derived from the fines, fees, and forfeitures that flow from ticket quotas. The financial imperative to meet these quotas so drives officers’ attention to these specific infractions that it’s been shown to reduce clearance rates for violent crime.
In our immigration system, in addition to these recent ICE arrest quotas, Congress set a national minimum of 34,000 immigration detention beds in 2009 and although the quota was removed in 2017, we’ve long since surpassed those numbers. Similarly, ICE contracts with for-profit prison companies and publicly-run county jails routinely include minimum detention quotas, requiring ICE to pay for the beds regardless of need and incentivizing ever-more detention to keep them filled and make the agency appear more efficient.
As we continue to make sense of this political moment, spend just a minute with us on a few reasons to be very skeptical of enforcement quotas.
Proponents of quotas claim they increase productivity in police officers and ensure they are doing their job. In practice, however, quotas often result in more falsification and misconduct rather than better policing or safety outcomes. And when officers are further incentivized to make arrests or write tickets without obvious (or sometimes any) cause, they often rely on bias to decide who looks like a threat.
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We can’t afford to scale up, export, or leave unchecked what we’ve already gotten wrong. We’ll be using this note to unpack the faulty thinking about crime, safety, and justice that underpins some of the most consequential discussions and decisions playing out in this American moment. You can find our previous notes here.


