What Impact Will This Have?
The new Duration of Status rule risks numerous harmful consequences on the higher education system and the U.S. economy, including:
- Making the U.S. a less attractive destination for international students. International student enrollment in the U.S. has rapidly declined, falling by 20% this year compared to last. Other countries such as Canada, the U.K., and Australia, as well as China, have been actively competing for this population and winning more of it. If this pattern continues, it will jeopardize decades of progress in securing the U.S.'s role as the world's top higher education destination. Significant declines in international enrollment will lead to reduced course offerings, cuts to critical research projects, and even school closures, job losses, and a less educated American workforce.
- Making it harder for employers to recruit U.S.-educated talent. Employers often hire international graduates because they are U.S.-trained and can often begin gaining practical experience through Optional Practical Training (OPT). Adding barriers to OPT disrupts that pipeline. Employers who cannot reliably hire and retain international graduates will move work and jobs outside the United States.
- Increasing the burden on students to remain in status, and on the government to process even more applications. USCIS processing times are consistently slow and unpredictable; currently, processing backlogs and delays are increasing rapidly. Requiring students to file for extensions multiplies the opportunities for delays, errors, and denials, and also increases the workload for federal agencies without a clear benefit.
- Students whose EOS applications are denied are immediately rendered out of status, with unlawful presence accruing from that point forward, even though the denial may reflect delay or agency error rather than any fault of the student's.
- Imposing massive, ongoing costs on universities, students, and the government. DHS's final Regulatory Impact Analysis reveals a daunting price tag: the total cost of this rule is at least $3.2 billion over ten years, or at least $443.1 million every year, indefinitely.
- DHS estimates that international office staff will spend approximately 135 hours in the first year adjusting to the increased workload. DHS's own final Regulatory Impact Analysis estimates that familiarization, adaptation, and advising costs to institutions could reach $267.9 million across the sector in the first year alone.
- Students themselves bear a direct, recurring cost: DHS anticipates hundreds of thousands of EOS filings every year. A single EOS filing can cost a student more than $1,000, including a $470 filing fee and mandatory biometrics travel and processing costs, plus nearly $500 more in legal or third-party assistance for the nearly half of applicants DHS itself expects will need it.
- Even DHS concedes that its own cost estimate is incomplete: DHS states outright that it has not quantified the costs to U.S. universities that may be impacted by reductions in international student enrollment, including lost tuition revenue.
- International students are already among the most heavily tracked and vetted visitors to the United States. This rule will only add more red tape to an already heavily restricted system, at a time when USCIS is being crushed by ever-increasing delays and backlogs.
- Compounding the harms of the broader efforts to reduce legal immigration. The D/S rule is just one of many recent attempts to restrict and reduce legal immigration, alongside the new Adjustment of Status policy, $100k H-1B fee, restrictions on work permit renewals, attacks on DACA and TPS, and student visa delays and denials. Taken together, these policies are making it harder for people who have done everything right to stay in this country, work, and contribute to our communities.