Donald Trump’s Numbers with Latinos Are Utterly Terrible

Posted by Todd Schulte on 03/03/2016

What we know: There is a misinterpretation that the popularity Donald Trump and Ted Cruz is being driven by their hard-line positions on immigration. In fact, their own primary voters don’t agree with them on this issue, and the consequences with the rest of the electorate are disastrous.

By the numbers: 3 in 4 Americans support immigration reform with a path to legalization for undocumented immigrants. Only 18% of Americans support mass deportation, as opposed to 73% who support legal status.

Exit polling continues to show that a strong majority of Republican primary voters favor legal status over mass deportation – even when the latter is phrased in friendly terms – without border security ever being mentioned.

Look at these two key Super Tuesday states: Georgia and Virginia

  • In Virginia exit polling showed that 59% of GOP primary voters support legal status as opposed to only 36% who support mass deportation.

  • Georgia was similar – 53% of voters said they favored legal status, whereas only 39% supported mass deportation.

If Republicans continue to eat themselves alive on this issue, and express support for mass deportation, states like Georgia – typically a lock for Republicans in a general election – will become swing states.

Contrast that with GOP frontrunner Donald Trump – and how utterly disastrous are his numbers? His favorability among Latino voters is overwhelmingly negative, with 80% viewing him unfavorably to just 16% who view him favorably.

Let’s compare Trump’s 2016 numbers with Latino voters to Mitt Romney’s numbers with African Americans in 2012: In 2012, Mitt Romney had a 68% unfavorable rating among African American voters before the general election. And as of now, Trump has a 80% unfavorable rating among Latinos.

Romney ended up with only 6% of the African American vote in the general election. Even with that, he still had a lower unfavorable rating among them, then Donald Trump currently holds among Latinos.

Now, Republicans will probably end up with more than 6% of the Latino vote – but don’t expect it to be anything close to a majority.

Need more proof? Just how bad are Donald Trump’s numbers with Latinos? Barack Obama is doing better with self-identified conservatives voters than Trump is doing with Latino voters – who are a key voting block for decades to come.

Sources:

Washington Post – Poll: The Hispanic electorate in 2016

Monmouth University Poll: National Poll, November 5, 2012

CNN – Super Tuesday exit polling

Washington Post – Exit polls 2012: How the vote has shifted

Reminder: This is what the Trump/Cruz plan for round up and deporting 11 Million Undocumented Immigrants Costs

Posted by FWD.us on 02/25/2016

The idea that the United States would best be served by creating a police state to round up approximately 11.5 million undocumented immigrants and deport each and every one of them. Beyond this morally reprehensible idea of breaking apart millions of families – removing a population equivalent to 12 states and the District of Columbia – this number doesn’t include the harm to the roughly 4 million U.S. citizen children with an undocumented parent. It means deporting a population the 7 times size of Houston.

Adding to the terrible moral cost of splitting apart families and deporting U.S. citizens, the cost to our economy would be astronomical: The conservative American Action Forum recently released a study showing that deporting 11.5 million people would cost U.S. taxpayers $400 to $600 billion dollars, and would take at least 20 years to complete. Even worse, this mass deportation would reduce our GDP by $1.7 trillion – over 5%. Many industries would be hit hard, others – like agriculture, construction and hospitality – would be devastated. Try imagining  California or Florida without agriculture. The approximately $100 billion in payroll taxes that undocumented immigrants pay into Medicare and the Social Security Trust Fund would dry up.

Developing the massive law enforcement, surveillance systems, and prison camps necessary to round up a population the size of Ohio is anathema to American values. Of course, these reasons are exactly why immigration reform supporters as diverse as the Catholic Church, the Southern Baptist Convention, tech entrepreneurs, the Farm Bureau, business and organized labor leaders, Jewish community groups, manufacturers, law enforcement officers, and veterans organizations agree that this approach is hurtful and wrong. As for the American people, 9 in 10 Americans from all walks of life agree that rounding up and deporting those who came here as kids is wrong.

The GOP frontrunners’ absurd ‘plans’ for mass deportation come with astronomical costs:

  • Economic: Would require $600 billion in new direct government spending AND would cut $1.7 trillion from the economy.

  • Families and Kids: Forcibly rounding up and deporting anywhere from 11 to 15 million people, including millions of American-born, U.S. citizen children.

  • Police State and Internment Camps: Effectively turning our country into a police state and putting millions of people in internment camps along the border.

Conversely, fixing our broken immigration system will mean:

  • Increasing economic growth by 4.8% Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

  • Lowering the federal deficit by $1.2 trillion ($180 billion during the first decade, and $990 billion during the second decade) (Source: American Immigration Council).

  • Adding $300 billion more to the Social Security Trust Fund.

  • Increasing all Americans’ overall income by $625 billion and create an average of 145,000 jobs per year over a decade.

Schulte: Governor Bush, Thank You For Supporting Commonsense Immigration Reform

Posted by Todd Schulte on 02/20/2016

Washington, D.C. — Following Governor Jeb Bush’s suspension of his 2016 Republican presidential campaign, FWD.us President Todd Schulte released the following statement:

“FWD.us thanks Governor Jeb Bush for never hesitating in his support for immigration reform. At every opportunity, Governor Bush spoke out against the awful and absurd “plans” for deporting 11 million people and in favor of modernizing our legal immigration system, securing the border, and providing a commonsense legalization process for undocumented immigrants. He stood with 3 in 4 Americans who support these principles, and we thank him for that.”

FWD.us On The Ground in South Carolina

Posted on 02/20/2016

also this one if its better for Instagram

COLUMBIA, S.C. — Today is the nation’s third Republican primary and the first primary to take place in the South.

For the past two weeks my FWD.us team has been on the ground here in South Carolina talking to voters and candidates from across the political spectrum about the need for commonsense immigration reform.

Given how heated the immigration debate has been this election season, I was surprised by how willing people were to share their thoughts when stopped on the street or outside of an event. Moreover, when we engaged them in conversation, I was encouraged by how many people expressed support for immigrant families.

It turns out that 57% of South Carolinians believe undocumented immigrants deserve a path to citizenship. Many Republican voters agreed with me that it is impractical and inhumane to tear apart families simply to “enforce the law” when it is badly broken.

I leave South Carolina with a strong belief in our ability as voters to listen to, challenge, and share with each other respectfully, behaviors that are not always modeled by our politicians. It can be frustrating to talk to somebody whose starting point is so different from yours, but there is real potential to change minds through compassion and patience.

We love the pastors!!

One of my favorite photos from our time here is of a group of evangelical Christians and pastors that we met with for about two hours. Each of them has, through their faith, come to the conclusion that they need to advocate for all families, especially those most vulnerable like the poor, refugees, and undocumented immigrants.

I hope that my team’s hard work educating voters on the specifics of immigration and reminding them of their better nature and responsibility to treat all people with dignity made some impact on the way that they approach these discussions, and maybe even swayed some away from the hyper-aggressive and nationalistic rhetoric dominating the campaign trail.

Katie Aragon is the FWD.us Silicon Valley Chapter Director.